The tensions developing at the global level in the Westphalian sovereignty-based international system manifest themselves in the Middle East on two levels, the global and the regional. At the global level, the region is seeing an increasing propensity for great powers to intervene directly to...

CIRS has published both English and Arabic versions of the "International Relations of the Gulf Summary Report" includes twelve synopses of the papers delivered at the two "International Relations of the Gulf working group" meetings in June 2008 and Januray 2009, as well as biographies of all...

This paper suggests that computer-assisted agent-based modeling has the ability to move beyond abstract representations of political problems to theoretically sound virtualizations of real-world polities capable of producing probabilistic forecasts from distributions of stochastically perturbed...

Seven years ago, heightened anxieties in Israel about an Arab threat to Israel's Jewish majority triggered an influential campaign to change perceptions of who is winning the demographic battle. Proposals to annex 60% or more of the West Bank are based in part on its success in persuading many...

This paper identifies the absence of a clear concept of violence as an obstacle to research on its causes and consequences. Standard practice in the proliferating literatures on political violence is to use damage measured in casualties as a surrogate. But damage can be produced nonviolently...