Historically, manager skill has been measured simply as the difference in average returns between the portfolio and the benchmark index. Managers were considered skillful if their active weights against the benchmark led to outperformance. However, a manager tilting toward a certain risk-factor,...

This article uses the Expectations Hypothesis (EH), one of the oldest theories in finance, to extract the information contained in the term structure of commodity futures prices. Under the powerful framework provided by the EH, we find a significant amount of predictability in commodity futures...

The main result of this paper is that, in continuous time games with imperfect monitoring it is better to average information over time rather than respond at every instant. The two main reasons why it is better to introduce delayed response to signals are that it helps to (1) loosen...

In this paper I study computational procedures of finding the set of payoff achieved in an equilibrium of a risk sharing Kocherlakota (1996) game. Instead of using some procedure involving iterations on the sets using an APS operator, I interpret the game as a renegotiable contract and then...

In a provocative paper, Santa-Clara and Valkanov (2003) present evidence that stock market returns are much higher under Democratic presidents than Republican presidents. Their work was updated by Pastor and Veronesi (2017), who find that the effect is even stronger when the data are extended...

Unlike standard factors, such as value, momentum, and size, quality lacks a commonly accepted definition. Practitioners, however, are increasingly gravitating to the style, defining quality as multi-signal for which some of the signals have been thoroughly explored in academic literature and...

Factor investing has failed to live up to its many promises. Its success is compromised by three problems that are often underappreciated by investors. First, many investors develop exaggerated expectations about factor performance as a result of data mining, crowding, unrealistic trading cost...

After reviewing the methodologies behind the more popular quantitative investment strategies offered to investors as passive equity indices, the authors devised an integrated evaluation framework. They found that the strategies outperform their cap-weighted counterparts largely owing to exposure...

Past industry returns predict the cross section of industry returns, and this predictability is at its strongest at the one-month horizon (Moskowitz and Grinblatt 1999). We show that the cross section of factor returns shares this property, and that industry momentum stems from factor momentum....