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Weizsäcker (2010) estimates the payoff of actions to test rational expectations and to measure the success of social … qualities which may lead the formulated test of rational expectations to generate false positives. We rely on the true values of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009500719
rational expectations. A regression analysis formulates a straightforward test of rational expectations, which rejects, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218602
rational expectations. A regression analysis formulates a straightforward test of rational expectations, which rejects, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013325050
We investigate whether experimental participants follow their private information and contradict herds in situations where it is empirically optimal to do so. We consider two sequences of players, an observed and an unobserved sequence. Observed players sequentially predict which of two options...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281654
This paper examines the occurrence and fragility of information cascades in laboratory experiments. One group of low informed subjects make predictions in sequence. In a matched pairs design, another set of high informed subjects observe the decisions of the first group and make predictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332985
This paper examines the occurrence and fragility of information cascades in laboratory experiments. One group of low informed subjects make predictions in sequence. In a matched pairs design, another set of high informed subjects observe the decisions of the first group and make predictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003803102
We designed four observational learning experiments to identify the key channels that, along with Bayes-rational inferences, drive herd behavior. In Experiment 1, unobserved, whose actions remain private, learn from the public actions made in turn by subjects endowed with private signals of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924978
We designed four observational learning experiments to identify the key channels that, along with Bayes-rational inferences, drive herd behavior. In Experiment 1, unobserved, whose actions remain private, learn from the public actions made in turn by subjects endowed with private signals of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011789104
The paper formalizes Warner's (1965) randomized response technique (RRT) as a game and implements it experimentally, thus linking game theoretic approaches to randomness in communication with survey practice in the field and a novel implementation in the lab. As predicted by our model and in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010201201
Social media have become a main source of information for many voters. Political interest groups on social media platforms have the ability to (i) microtarget news based on individual-level voter data and (ii) obfuscate their identities, which can be exploited to spread disinformation. Two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347857