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individuals and households. -- Great Moderation ; inventories ; monetary policy ; volatility …We review evidence on the Great Moderation together with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level to develop … a potential explanation for the decline in aggregate volatility since the 1980s and its consequences. The key elements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781571
We review evidence on the Great Moderation together with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level to develop … a potential explanation for the decline in aggregate volatility since the 1980s and its consequences. The key elements … are declines in firm-level volatility and aggregate volatility - most dramatically in the durable goods sector - but with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723678
materials, for both production as well as for inventories. The more detailed treatment of inventory holdings offers new insights … and they explain the volatility of many variables. We reject the hypothesis of better inventory management and improved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208560
We characterize the macroeconomic performance of a set of industrialized economies in the aftermath of the oil price shocks of the 1970s and of the last decade, focusing on the differences across episodes. We examine four different hypotheses for the mild effects on inflation and economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005708002
"We review evidence on the Great Moderation in conjunction with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level. We … combine the two types of evidence to develop a tentative story for important components of the aggregate volatility decline … and its consequences. The key ingredients are declines in firm-level volatility and aggregate volatility -- most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003725078
Uncertainty affects business cycles and asset prices. We estimate firm-level productivity and decompose total uncertainty risk measured as cross-sectional productivity dispersion into macro uncertainty (an aggregate component) and micro uncertainty (an idiosyncratic component). We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349100
This paper uses a multivariate filter and a production function to project potential growth inColombia, modeling in detail the impact of low oil prices on investment. The framework alsocaptures the impact of current and planned policies on potential growth, including the peaceagreement with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942332
decreases output volatility relative to sales volatility, lower levels of inventories actually increases sales volatility … and inventory facts well. Under the stockout constraint, inventories and demand are complements in generating sales, and … hence the optimal level of inventories increases in expected demand. We also show that the inventory to sales ratio is both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010443357
decreases output volatility relative to sales volatility, lower levels of inventories actually increases sales volatility … and inventory facts well. Under the stockout constraint, inventories and demand are complements in generating sales, and … hence the optimal level of inventories increases in expected demand. We also show that the inventory to sales ratio is both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009744610
and Rotemberg price setting assumptions. The Calvo model fails to predict the increase of price volatility on Business to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596381