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The results of a new experimental study reveal highly systematic violations of expected utility theory. The pattern of these violations is exactly the opposite of the classical common ratio effect discovered by Allais (1953). Two recent decision theories— stochastic expected utility theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008625739
Prospect Theory (1979) and its Cumulative version (1992) argue for probability weighting to explain lottery choices. Decision Utility Theory presents an alternative solution, which makes no use of this concept. The new theory distinguishes decision and perception utility, postulates a double...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008756284
This short paper shows that the Allais Paradox and the Common Ratio Effect regarded as classic examples of the violation of the Expected Utility Theory Axioms – may be easily explained by assuming that changes in wealth (i.e. gains and losses) are perceived in relative terms. The preference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458513
The proof of the theorem of existence of the ruptures, namely the proof of maximality, is improved. The theorem may be used in economics and explain the well-known problems such as Allais’ paradox. Illustrated examples of ruptures are presented.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009403452
Following the ideas of Bohr, Von Neumann, and Benioff, we formulate quantum decision theory (QDT) as the quantum-mechanical theory of measurement for probability operators. QDT captures the effect of superposition of composite prospects, including many incorporated intentions. It is based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162985
coalescing, the assumption that when two branches lead to the same consequence, they can be combined by adding their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278006
This paper presents an experimental test of several independence conditions implied by expected utility and alternative models. We perform a repeated choice experiment and fit an error model that allows us to discriminate between true violations of independence and those that can be attributed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278007
functionals from round to round. Instead, we focus on choice problems allowing for direct tests of independence and coalescing. We … show that variability of responses as well as violations of independence and coalescing decrease from earlier to later …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486756
We study search behavior in a generalized "secretary problem" environment in which consumers search sequentially for the best alternative from a known and finite set of multi-attribute alternatives. In contrast to most previous studies, we make no distributional assumptions about the quality of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014034631
provides data for tests for portfolio effect, wealth effect, reduction, adding up, and cross-task contamination. Data from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285720