We present, for the first time in the literature, empirical estimates of the supply and demand curves for the ocean-going dry bulk sector, using a three-stage least squares methodology. Furthermore, we augment these functions with sentiment, which appears to have a positive and significant...

Financial technical analysis of markets and trends differs from fundamental analysis in that econometrics are used on "fundamental" economic data in fundamental analysis. Technical analysis, however, adds to the overall trend analysis an additional examination of the psychology of markets. For...

The demolition market assists in balancing the supply and demand in the shipping industry and from that perspective is a major driver of market equilibrium and the level of freight rates. Even so, literature related to ship demolition, focuses mainly on the environmental and regulatory aspects...

In the current paper, we examine the existence of possible threshold relationships in the commodity price – freight rate nexus, under or over which the relationship between the two changes. Using the first lag of the commodity price change as the threshold variable, we find that, in the case...

The BDI is a barometer of maritime trade, and the shipping trade network may graphically reflect trade pattern evolution. Because commerce influences freight prices, it is worthwhile to consider the influence of maritime network characteristics on freight rates. To begin, this article constructs...

This paper aims at contributing to the literature in three ways: First, we re-evaluate the performance of popular Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimation methods on freight rates amid the adverse economic consequences of the recent financial and sovereign debt crisis. Secondly we provide a detailed and...

This paper examines whether the inclusion of oil price shocks of different origin as exogenous variables in a wide set of GARCH-X models improves the accuracy of their volatility forecasts for spot and 1-year time-charter tanker freight rates. Kilian's (2009) oil price shocks of different origin...