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correlation of the economic variables with the reference series, the study of the cyclical indicators, the analysis of the … relative variability of economic series, the diagnose and prevision based on the cyclical indicators. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010617406
show that country specific indicators play a much smaller role. We detect di?erences across business cycle phases but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604358
Clusters of cyclical turning points in the coincident indicators help us identify and date Euro Area recessions and … recoveries in the past several decades. In the U.S. and some other countries, composite indexes of coincident indicators (CEI …) are used to date classical business cycle turning points; also indexes of leading indicators (LEI) are used to help in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004990909
show that country specific indicators play a much smaller role. We detect differences across business cycle phases but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005708001
This paper reports real-time out-of-sample tests of the ability of the U.S. Index Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005001412
Our objective has been to experiment with diverse economic indicators in order to help equip Ukrainian policymakers … practice” in early warning indicators in order to design a similar system for Ukraine; We have selected the relevant indicators …, consistent with our hypotheses and used a probit model in order to experiment with these indicators; The final set of indicators …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326591
macro series, namely annual and quarterly real GDP and GDP per capita. The results indicate that the behaviour of US GDP can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750067
macro series, namely annual and quarterly real GDP and GDP per capita. The results indicate that the behaviour of US GDP can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746636
To analyze whether oil price can account for the business cycle asymmetries in the G7, this paper adopts the Friedman’s Plucking Markov Switching Model to decompose G7 real GDPs into common permanent components, common transitory components, infrequent Markov Switching negative shock and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342332
This paper employs reduced-form microeconometric analysis to examine how yearly changes in aggregate income and GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009359967