Showing 1 - 10 of 1,358
We offer a theory of polarization as an optimal response to ambiguity. Suppose individual A's beliefs first … impossible under Bayesian updating or after observing extreme signals. However, we also show that polarization can arise after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352846
of preferences over acts, to be able to reconcile typical behavior in the face of ambiguity (as exemplified by Ellsberg …’s paradox) with dynamic consistency for all non-null events. Updating takes the form of applying Bayes’ rule to subsets of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599390
Dynamic consistency leads to Bayesian updating under expected utility. We ask what it implies for the updating of more … characterize dynamically consistent updating for two important models of ambiguity averse preferences: the ambiguity averse smooth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266275
of preferences over acts, to be able to reconcile typical behavior in the face of ambiguity (as exemplified by Ellsberg …’s paradox) with dynamic consistency for all non-null events. Updating takes the form of applying Bayes’ rule to subsets of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011702323
of preferences over acts, to be able to reconcile typical behavior in the face of ambiguity (as exemplified by Ellsberg …’s paradox) with dynamic consistency for all non-null events. Updating takes the form of applying Bayes’ rule to subsets of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005812751
Dynamic consistency leads to Bayesian updating under expected utility. We ask what it implies for the updating of more … characterize dynamically consistent updating for two important models of ambiguity averse preferences: the ambiguity averse smooth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005588544
Since at least de Finetti [7], preference symmetry assumptions have played an important role in models of decision making under uncertainty. In the current paper, we explore (1) the relationship between the symmetry assumption of Klibanoff, Mukerji and Seo (KMS) [21] and alternative symmetry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927996
Since at least de Finetti [7], preference symmetry assumptions have played an important role in models of decision making under uncertainty. In the current paper, we explore (1) the relationship between the symmetry assumption of Klibanoff, Mukerji and Seo (KMS) [21] and alternative symmetry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694779
We implement an experiment to elicit subjects’ ambiguity attitudes in the spirit of Ellsberg’s three-color urn. The … experimenters). We use this device in order to eliminate possible ‘strategic’ ambiguity related to subjects’ beliefs about the … experimenters’ motivations. In addition, we survey 40 experimental studies on Ellsberg’s two- and three-color problems, and find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422264
We implement an experiment to elicit subjects’ ambiguity attitudes in the spirit of Ellsberg’s three-color urn. The … experimenters). We use this device in order to eliminate possible ‘strategic’ ambiguity related to subjects’ beliefs about the … experimenters’ motivations. In addition, we survey 40 experimental studies on Ellsberg’s two- and three-color problems, and find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360878