In this paper we investigate the role of judgement in the formation of forecasts in commercial real estate markets. Based on interview surveys with the majority of forecast producers, we find that real estate forecasters are using a range of inputs and data sets to form models to predict an...

We examine the short-run and long-run price reaction of equity real estate investment trust (REIT) shares following credit rating actions, testing the transparency of the REIT structure. Generally, the economic effect on the stock price is subdued for both upgrades and downgrades compared to...

We examine the short-run and long-run price reaction of equity real estate investment trust (REIT) shares following credit rating actions, testing the transparency of the REIT structure. Generally, the economic effect on the stock price is subdued for both upgrades and downgrades compared to...

We investigate long-term cointegrative and short-term causal relations among seven U.S. sectoral REITs. First, cointegration tests identify one long-term cointegrative relation among five of the sectors, which suggests that two of the sectors are outside the cointegrative space. Second,...

Whilst the vast majority of the research on property market forecasting has concentrated on statistical methods of forecasting future rents, this report investigates the process of property market forecast production with particular reference to the level and effect of judgemental intervention...

ERES:conference

The rapid changes of environment have a considerable effect on the real estate prices. The consequences of urban constructions (like new tramways or metro stations, new bridges or industrial areas) are durable and difficult to measure. The estimation of these environmental transformations is...

Property decision-making is typically characterised as a structured, rational process, using fundamental data and leading to optimal decision making. To augment, or substitute for deficiencies in, such data, property investors may turn to perceptions of investor or market sentiment. While...

We investigate whether nonlocal buyers of real estate pay different prices for similar assets as compared to local buyers. An efficient real estate market would operate against this but empirical studies leave the question unresolved. While some studies fail to detect or confirm price...