Child labor may impose positive and negative, direct and indirect effects on the long-term development of an individual. This study employs the Brazil Living Standards Measurement Study Survey to examine the long-run consequences of child labor on an adults income, health and educational...

I analyze the risk in the ABX index of asset backed, subprime, home equity credit default swaps and CME housing futures. Using estimators of the jump and cojump components of security prices, I determine that: (1) jump risk was rising throughout 2006, well before any problems in the mortgage...

This paper assesses the microstructure of the U.S. Treasury securities market using tick data from the BrokerTec electronic trading platform. We examine trading activity, bid-ask spreads, and depth for the on-the-run 2-, 3-, 5-, 10- and 30-year securities and find that liquidity is markedly...

This paper investigates the market microstructure of the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. The two major Chinese stock markets are pure order-driven trading mechanisms without market makers, and we analyze empirically both limit order books. We begin our empirical modeling using the vector...

We consider a model of an internet chat room with free entry but secure identity. Traders exchange messages in real time of both a fundamental and non-fundamental nature. We explore conditions under which traders post truthful information and make trading decisions. We also establish a symmetric...

We analyze high frequency trading (HFT) activity in equities during U.S. Treasury permanent open market (POMO) purchases by the Federal Reserve. We construct a model to study HFT quote and trade behavior when private information is released and confirm it empirically. We estimate that HFT firms...

A breakdown in market quality occurs when an order book thins to the point where extreme price movements are observed. These are frequently reversed as the market learns that nothing fundamental has occurred. The daily average breakdown frequency from 1993-2011 is 0.64%, with averages in 2010-11...

Emissions markets have emerged in Europe, the U.S., and around the globe. This paper analyzes the market structure of trading in these instruments. Within the EU ETS, I find, after controlling for a structural break in April 2006, that the major spot and futures exchanges in Europe are...

We compare several models for Bear Stearns' credit default swap spreads estimated via a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. The Bayes Factor selects a CKLS model with GARCH-EPD errors as the best model. This model captures the volatility clustering and extreme tail returns of the swaps during...

This paper analyzes the market microstructure of the European Climate Exchange, the largest EU ETS trading venue. The ECX captures 2/3 of the screen traded market in EUA and more than 90% in CER. Trading volumes are active, with EUA volume doubling in 2009. Spreads range from €0.02 to €0.06...