We propose a detailed Monte Carlo study of model selection criteria when the exact maximum likelihood (EML) method is used to estimate ARFIMA processes. More specifically, our object is to assess the performance of two automatic selection criteria in the presence of long-term memory: Akaike and...

We test for long memory in 3- and 6-month daily returns series on Eurocurrency deposits denominated in Japanese yen (Euroyen). The fractional differencing parameter is estimated using the spectral regression method. The conflicting evidence obtained from the application of tests against a unit...

We test for stochastic long memory in the Greek stock market, an emerging capital market. The fractional differencing parameter is estimated using the spectral regression method. Contrary to findings for major capital markets, significant and robust evidence of positive long-term persistence is...

According to the permanent income hypothesis under rational expectations, variations of consumption should be larger than variations of unanticipated shocks to income. This implication of the theoretical model is not supported by the data since there seems to exist an excess smoothness of...

We propose a portfolio construction method that accounts for the regime-dependent behavior of stocks, thereby impacting their expected returns. Using a hidden Markov model (HMM) and a regime-weighted least-squares approach, we estimate forward-looking regime-conditional factors. These factors...

Several semiparametric estimators recently developed in the econometrics literature are based on the rank correlation between the dependent and explanatory variables. Examples include the maximum rank correlation estimator (MRC) of Han [1987], the monotone rank estimator (MR) of Cavanagh and...

This paper develops a wavelet (spectral) approach to test the presence of a unit root in a stochastic process. The wavelet approach is appealing, since it is based directly on the different behavior of the spectra of a unit root process and that of a short memory stationary process. By...

This paper develops a wavelet (spectral) approach to test the presence of a unit root in a stochastic process. The wavelet approach is appealing, since it is based directly on the different behavior of the spectra of a unit root process and that of a short memory stationary process. By...

The issue of outsourcing as a form of foreign direct investment (FDI) has been widely discussed in the recent past. In this essay, I analyze what determines the outsourcing activity by looking at U. S. manufacturing industries between 1972 and 2002. I concentrate on correlation between the...

This paper reports several entirely new results on financial market dynamics and option pricing We observe that empirical distributions of returns are much better approximated by an exponential distribution than by a Gaussian. This exponential distribution of asset prices can be used to develop...