This paper examines the impact that uncertainty over economic growth may have on global energy transition and CO2 prices. We use a general-equilibrium model derived from MERGE, and define several stochastic scenarios for economic growth. Each scenario is characterized by the likelihood of a...

This paper proposes a real option capacity expansion model for power generation with several technologies that differ in operation and investment costs. The economy is assumed perfectly competitive and the instantaneous payoff accruing from the generation system is the instantaneous welfare...

This paper analyzes the properties of three capacity games in an oligopolistic market with Cournot players. In the first game, capacity and the operation of that capacity is determined simultaneously. This is the classic open-loop Cournot game. In the second game capacity is decided in the first...

The restructuring of the gas industry did not so far generate the same modeling activity as in electricity. While the literature of activity in electricity market models is now abundant, it is still rather scant on the gas side. This paper surveys some of the existing models and attempts to take...

Competition, security of supply and sustainability are at the core of EU energy policy. The Commission argues that making the European gas market more competitive (completing the internal gas market) will be instrumental in the pursuit of these objectives. We examine the question through the...

More regulation, not less, is temporarily necessary, if effective competition is to be established in network industries. This paradox places new requirements on computable models: they should provide realistic descriptions of technologies but also of market and institutions. Industrial...

The paper extends our previous analysis of market incompleteness to the case where there exist both a forward and real time market. The discussion is conducted with reference to a two-stage framework commonly used in stochastic programming and finance, but also familiar to the power industry....

Carbon leakage in this pape ris the phenomenon whereby Electricity Intensive Industries subject to harsh environmental standards move their activity or part of it to more environmentally lenient regions. Carbon leakage has been mentioned as a possible outcome of the EU Emission Trading Scheme....

Two markets co-exist in a unbundled electricity supply industry: the one of the electricity supply and the one of transmission capacity reservations. The first one could be assumed as an oligopoly, and the second one, as a natural monopoly, is regulated. The prices in the first market are...

Two markets co-exist in a unbundled electricity supply industry: the one of the electricity supply and the one of transmission capacity reservations. The first one could be assumed as an oligopoly, and the second one, as a natural monopoly, is regulated. The prices in the first market is...