Returns for commercial real estate are determined by the interaction between the market for space or "space market" and the market for capital or "capital market." In the space market, tenants lease space and short run rental rates are determined by the supply and demand for space. Discount and...

We find substantial regional variations in CMBS loan default rates based on a 10-year history of nearly 38,000 CMBS loans. We seek to explain those variations with well documented risk factors such as negative equity, insolvency, property type, originator and state foreclosure law, as well as...

Subordination is designed to provide credit risk protection for senior commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) tranches by allocating the initial credit losses to the more junior tranches. Subordination level should in theory reflect the underlying credit risk of the CMBS pool. In this...

Option theory predicts that mortgage default or prepayment will be exercised if the call or put option is quot;in the money.quot; We extend our analysis to commercial mortgages using data from commercial mortgage-backed securities. The paper presents a model of the competing risks of mortgage...

We evaluate the effects of CDO issuance on the pricing of subprime mortgage-backed securities. Upon controlling for mortgage option values and other well-established determinants of credit spreads, GMM results indicate that the emergence and rapid capitalization of the subprime-backed CDO market...

Subordination levels are of critical importance in the classic senior-subordinated structure for securitized financing (such as collateralized debt obligations and commercial mortgage-backed securities). Subordination levels determine the amount of credit support that the senior bonds (or...

Option theory predicts that mortgage default or prepayment will be exercised if the call or put option is “in the money.” We extend our analysis to commercial mortgages using data from commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS). The paper presents a model of the competing risks of mortgage...

Subordination levels are of critical importance in the classic senior-subordinated structure for securitized financing (such as collateralized debt obligations and commercial mortgage-backed securities). Subordination levels determine the amount of credit support that the senior bonds (or...