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Since the intensification of the crisis in September 2008, all euro area long-term government bond yields relative to the German Bund have been characterised by highly persistent processes with upward trends for countries with weaker fiscal fundamentals. Looking at the daily period 1 September...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605464
Since the intensification of the crisis in September 2008, all euro area long-term government bond yields relative to the German Bund have been characterised by highly persistent processes with upward trends for countries with weaker fiscal fundamentals. Looking at the daily period 1 September...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686751
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011736794
We find that countries which are able to borrow at spreads that seem low given fundamentals (for example because investors take a bullish view on a country's future), are more likely to develop economic difficulties later on. We obtain this result through a two-stage procedure, where a first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301895
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012130093
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This paper investigates the effects of fiscal consolidation announcements on sovereign spreads in a panel of 21 emerging market economies during 2000-18. We construct a novel dataset using a global news database to identify the precise announcement date of fiscal consolidation actions. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102084
This paper examines the asymmetry in global spillovers from Fed policy across tightening versus easing episodes several … (ii) global supply chains, allowing us to match the asymmetry of spillovers across contractionary versus expansionary … spillovers during contractionary episodes under both conventional and unconventional monetary policy changes. Our results also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015178607
Monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve System in the US are widely recognised to have spillover effects on the rest of the world. In this paper, we focus on the asymmetric effects of US monetary policy shocks on macro-financial outcomes in emerging market economies (EMEs). We shed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015163277
host country (i.e., spillovers). We document that backward linkages have a consistently positive effect on productivity of … domestic firms while horizontal and forward linkages show no consistent effect. We also examine how the strength of spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010227718