Since the seminal paper by Chow and Lin the literature on temporal disaggregation has focused on temporal disaggregation of flow variables. Moreover, this literature on optimal methods has traditionally emphasized static models and forced all dynamic dimension of the link between time series to...

Since 1991, French taxpayers who employ someone to work at their home (for care, cleaning, etc.) can deduct 50 % of the employment cost from their income tax. In 2007, the tax reduction was turned into a tax credit, making lower income households eligible. However, this change was limited to...

Confronted with an ageing population, developed countries are facing the challenge of providing care to a growing number of disabled elderly people. Knowing how many they will be and, given the current pensions and welfare systems, how much it will cost to care for them is crucial to...

We analyze the euro area business cycle in a medium scale DSGE model where we assume two stochastic trends: one on total factor productivity and one on the inflation target of the central bank. To justify our choice of integrated trends, we test alternative specifications for both of them. We do...

In this study, we quantify the amount of redistribution that is performed by the French public pension system, using Insees dynamic microsimulation model DESTINIE. We more precisely focus on two issues: to what extent does the pension system reduce variability within the distribution of pensions...

Insurance coverage against natural disasters remains low in many exposed areas. Limited insurance supply is commonly identified as a primary factor causing low insurance coverage. The French overseas departments provide an unusual combination of a well-developed natural disasters insurance...

The International Labour Organization (ILO) defines unemployed population as the persons who are not in employment, immediately available to work and who actively look for a job. At INSEE, the mean of the ILO unemployment rate is computed at a quarterly frequency using the Labour Force Survey...

The importance of the stimulus packages that were injected in most advanced economies from the start of the financial crisis and the speed at which budgets are now being consolidated in Europe has revived the long-lasting debate on the size of fiscal multipliers. In this study, we focus on...

In metropolitan France, in the absence of a child, only those aged 25 and older are eligible to the minimum income (called RSA since June 2009, or RMI before that date). This article assesses whether the RMI or the RSA discourages young people to work. If this was indeed the case, we should...

Potential growth estimates and forecasts generally rely on a decomposition of GDP growth into three production factors: the volume of labour, the volume of capital and a residual term called multifactor productivity (MFP). This residual term is often considered as the contribution to growth of...