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, inflation expectations, exchange rate changes and stock market volatility among others. Hence, forecasting the price of gold is …The price of gold is influenced by a wide range of local and global factors such as commodity prices, interest rates … allows both the forecasting model and the coefficients to change over time. Based on this framework, we systematically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417235
, inflation expectations, exchange rate changes and stock market volatility among others. Hence, forecasting the price of gold is …The price of gold is influenced by a wide range of local and global factors such as commodity prices, interest rates … allows both the forecasting model and the coefficients to change over time. Based on this framework, we systematically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420994
Gold is a globally traded asset and held in large quantities by investors and central banks. Since there is no … established model to assess if the price of gold is overvalued or undervalued, we propose a relative valuation framework based on … gold price ratios. We analyze gold prices relative to commodity prices, consumer prices, stock prices, dividend and bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434956
Gold is a globally traded asset and held in large quantities by investors and central banks. Since there is no … established model to assess if the price of gold is overvalued or undervalued, we propose a relative valuation framework based on … gold price ratios and focus on potential drivers of resulting misalignments. This idea is not confined to gold but offers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011739640
Gold is a globally traded asset and held in large quantities by investors and central banks. Since there is no … established model to assess if the price of gold is overvalued or undervalued, we propose a relative valuation framework based on … gold price ratios. We analyze gold prices relative to commodity prices, consumer prices, stock prices, dividend and bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434341
Gold is a globally traded asset and held in large quantities by investors and central banks. Since there is no … established model to assess if the price of gold is overvalued or undervalued, we propose a relative valuation framework based on … gold price ratios and focus on potential drivers of resulting misalignments. This idea is not confined to gold but offers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776943
The relationship between gold and the stock market has attracted considerable attention in both the academic literature … and financial media since gold is perceived a safe haven for equity. This describes the empirical phenomenon that gold … the role of gold as safe haven typically focus on returns, we also investigate the relationship between gold volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211930
This paper studies recurring annual events potentially introducing seasonality into gold prices. We analyze gold … statistically significant gold price changes. This “autumn effect” holds unconditionally and conditional on several risk factors. We … stock market, wedding season gold jewelery demand in India and negative investor sentiment due to shorter daylight time. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112015
, inflation expectations, exchange rate changes and stock market volatility among others. Hence, forecasting the price of gold is …The price of gold is influenced by a wide range of local and global factors such as commodity prices, interest rates … allows both the forecasting model and the coefficients to change over time. Based on this framework, we systematically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028658
We use factor augmented vector autoregressive models with time-varying coe¢ cients to construct a …nancial conditions index. The time-variation in the parameters allows for the weights attached to each …nancial variable in the index to evolve over time. Furthermore, we develop methods for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019232