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This appendix presents an extended explanation for our finding of mean reversion of the real exchange rate to a shifting mean using monthly data for Mexico, 1969-2010. Because such shifts coincide with trade liberalization in Mexico, we conclude that changes in the tradable/nontradable goods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108482
We show that the use of the real effective exchange rate to test for purchasing power parity, as in Astorga (2012) and other studies, introduces a bias against finding evidence of PPP. The bias is illustrated using unit root tests applied to bilateral real rates.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109554
We present a new heteroskedastic conditional variance model using NonLinear Moving Average as the basis for this specification [NLMACH(q)]. The typical problem of this class of models-i.e., noninvertibility—is solved by means of an intuitive parametric restriction; this allows us to use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009143765
We show that the use of the real effective exchange rate to test for purchasing power parity, as in Astorga (2012) and other studies, is subject to a problem that biases tests against finding evidence of PPP. The problem is illustrated using Astorga´s data on six Latin American countries.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010747088
Mexican economic historiography recognizes the key role that public investment played in the country's economic performance from the post-revolutionary period until the beginning of the economic liberalization that began in the mid-1980s. However, there is no concrete empirical evidence that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011991244
The authors construct a historical database of public investment (both total and broken down into its main components) for the period 1925 to 1981 in order to measure its impact on economic activity. Given the possible presence of crowding-out effects between public investment and private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012169094
We study whether there is a long-run relationship between Mexican current account (CA) revenues and expenditures. Our results show that evidence in favor of this claim is drawn only when (at least) three structural break levels are allowed. The CA therefore behaves as a broken-mean stationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010835852
Mexican economic historiography recognizes the key role that public investment played in the country's economic performance from the post-revolutionary period until the beginning of the economic liberalization that began in the mid-1980s. However, there is no concrete empirical evidence that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990903
his paper examines whether the CPI and real GDP for the U.S. exhibit nonlinear reversion to trend as recently concluded by Beechey and Österholm [Beechey, M. and Österholm, P., 2008. Revisiting the uncertain unit root in GDP and CPI: testing for non-linear trend reversion. Economics Letters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642687
We make use of a data set that is both long span and high frequency to test for purchasing power parity while allowing for a structural shift in the volatility of the Mexico-US bilateral real exchange rate. The Kim, Leybourne and Newbold (2002) unit root test, robust to changes in the innovation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010667310