This paper shows how to reduce the bullwhip effect by introducing advance demand information (ADI) into the ordering schemes of supply chains. It quantifies the potential costs and benefits of ADI, and demonstrates that they are not evenly distributed across the chain. Therefore, market-based...

We characterize the impact of biofuel industry development on farmland use competition, referred to as the food-energy-environment trilemma: to grow food or energy crops, or to reserve the land for environmental conservation. We develop an analytical game-theoretic model to analyze the role and...

This report describes field observations of multi-lane freeway traffic upstream of an oversaturated off-ramp. It is based on empirical evidence from freeway I-880 (northbound) near Oakland, California. The report presents two diagnostic tools that reveal hidden features of the traffic stream...

This report is part of PATH Task Order 4141 and shows how moving obstructions can be modeled numerically with kinematic wave theory. It shows that if a moving obstruction is replaced by a sequence of fixed obstructions at nearby locations with the same "capacity", then the error in vehicle...

This paper shows how the evolution of multicommodity traffic flows over complex networks can be predicted over time, based on a simple macroscopic computer representation of traffic flow that is consistent with the kinematic wave theory under all traffic conditions. After a brief review of the...

New ideas are explored for managing multimodal traffic on isolated approaches to signalized intersections. Strategies are proposed that both: segregate distinct modes along the approach, and more effectively resolve the disruptive capacity-reducing conflicts that arise between through moving and...

This paper presents a simple representation of traffic on a highway with a single entrance and exit. The representation can be used to predict traffic's evolution over time and space, including transient phenomena such as the building, propagation and dissipation of queues. The easy-to-solve...

Observations of freeway traffic flow are usually quite scattered about an underlying curve when plotted versus density or occupancy. Although increasing the sampling intervals can reduce the scatter, whenever an experiment encompasses a rush hour with transitions in and out of congestion, some...