Showing 1 - 10 of 42
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009782761
The rising interest of institutional investors for commodities since the early 2000s prompted remarkable financial engineering in the commodity index space which is now in its third generation. The purpose of this article is to review this evolution and to give an assessment of index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101688
The paper examines the role of non-normality risks in explaining the momentum puzzle of equity returns. It shows that momentum profits are not normally distributed and, relatedly, that the momentum profitability is partly a compensation for systematic negative skewness risk in line with market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012727407
This article reviews recent academic studies that analyze the performance of long-short strategies in commodity futures markets. Special attention is devoted to the strategies based on roll-yields, inventory levels or hedging pressure that directly arise from the theory of storage and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903777
This article studies the relation between the skewness of commodity futures returns and expected returns. A trading strategy that takes long positions in commodity futures with the most negative skew and shorts those with the most positive skew generates significant excess returns that remain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903915
The article examines whether commodity risk is priced in the cross-section of global equity returns. We employ a long-only equally-weighted portfolio of commodity futures and a term structure portfolio that captures phases of backwardation and contango as mimicking portfolios for commodity risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904741
This paper shows that commodity portfolios that capture the backwardation and contango phases exhibit in-sample and out-of-sample predictive power for the first two moments of the distribution of long-horizon aggregate equity market returns, and for the business cycle. It also demonstrates that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904914
This article investigates the relationship between expected returns and past idiosyncratic volatility in commodity futures markets. Measuring the idiosyncratic volatility of 27 commodity futures contracts with traditional pricing models that fail to account for backwardation and contango leads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905579
This article formally compares two traditional long-only commodity indices, S&P-GSCI and DJ-UBSCI, with their enhanced versions that exploit signals based on contract maturity, momentum and term structure. The enhanced indices are found to be useful for tactical asset allocation. With alphas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906042
The article models the risk premium present in energy futures markets. This is done first by analyzing the performance of long-short portfolios based on single styles, and then by integrating these styles into an unique portfolio. Aligned with the hedging pressure hypothesis and the theory of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888953