We use a simple quantitative asset pricing model to "reverse-engineer" the sequences of stochastic shocks to housing demand and lending standards that are needed to exactly replicate the boom-bust patterns in U.S. household real estate value and mortgage debt over the period 1995 to 2012....

This paper develops a DSGE framework featuring a heterogeneous housing market, endogenousdefault, and a banking sector. We find that the idiosyncratic mortgage risk shock plays an importantrole in explaining the fluctuations of house prices during the mid-1980s and the years leading up tothe...

Using a large-scale online survey experiment, we study the effects of changes in three borrower-based macroprudential policy tools, residential loan-to-value (LTV), debt-to-income, and buy-to-let LTV ratio, on British consumers’ housing market expectations. A policy loosening generally leads...

Longstanding speculation about the likelihood of a housing market collapse has given way in the past few months to consideration of just how far the housing market will fall, and how much damage the debacle will inflict on the economy. This paper assesses the magnitude of the impact of housing...