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forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that using more flexible models leads to a better in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325534
forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that using more flexible models leads to a better in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049944
forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that using more flexible models leads to a better in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137361
forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that using more flexible models leads to a better in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256459
factors. We illustrate the methodology by forecasting the U.S. term structure of interest rates. For this empirical study we … the yield and macroeconomic factors. Finally, we perform an extensive out-of-sample forecasting study. Our main conclusion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386428
We estimate a model with latent factors that summarize the yield curve (namely, level, slope, and curvature) as well as observable macroeconomic variables (real activity, inflation, and the stance of monetary policy). Our goal is to provide a characterization of the dynamic interactions between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764768
yield curve where the informational advantage exists and transmits the superior forecasting ability to all remaining yields … are widely adopted by financial and policy institutions for forecasting the term structure of interest rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010190487
returns we observe that the slope and curvature yield factors contain the same explanatory power as the return-forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219528
simultaneous analysis and forecasting of interest rates of different maturities. The Nelson–Siegel model has been recently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373825
. Our results show that adding macroeconomic factors is very beneficial for improving the out-of-sample forecasting … substantial gains in forecasting performance, especially when applying Bayesian model averaging. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372519