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currency risk in the International CAPM context. Their returns are the currency risk premia. Since the UIP positions on average … use this observation to generate a specific conditional version of the International CAPM. A GMM approach shows that the … conditional model performs well, while the unconditional International CAPM is (marginally) rejected. The paper thus argues that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078881
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003851615
I explore the behavior of asset prices and the exchange rate in a two-country world. When the large country has bad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118842
1996 to 2011 period using exchange rate spot, forward, and option data, we obtain a real-time index of world disaster risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152552
A key theoretical prediction in financial economics is that under risk neutrality and rational expectations, a currency's forward rates should form unbiased predictors of future spot rates. Yet scores of empirical studies report negative slope coefficients from regressions of spot rates on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826616
Separate literatures study violations of uncovered interest parity using regression-based and portfolio-based methods. We propose a decomposition of these violations into a cross-currency, a between-time-and-currency, and a cross-time component that allows us to analytically relate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974287
We investigate the pricing of volatility risks in currency markets. First, we show that pricing ability of volatility risk is concentrated in some of its components. Diffusive volatility dominates jump volatility in pricing carry trade returns, while jump volatility is important in jointly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012552
I analyze how the tone of central bank press conferences impacts risk premia in the currency market. I measure tone as the difference between the number of hawkish and dovish phrases made during a press conference. I show that central bank tone contemporaneously explains option implied risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850585
Separate literatures study violations of uncovered interest parity (UIP) using regression-based and portfolio-based methods. We propose a decomposition of these violations into a cross-currency, a between-time-and-currency, and a cross-time component that allows us to analytically relate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050308