-specific extreme market risks. First, we define tail market risk that captures dependence between extremely low market as well as asset … returns. Second, extreme market volatility risk is characterized by dependence between extremely high increments of market … that both frequency-specific tail market risk and extreme volatility risks are significantly priced and our five …

Risk estimation or volatility estimation at financial markets, particularly stock exchange markets, is complex issue of … pricing of stocks and better risk management. The aim of this research is to test applicability of simple models like Simple … Moving Average (SMA) and Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) to estimate risk. The performance of SMA and EWMA with …

We forecast portfolio risk for managing dynamic tail risk protection strategies, based on extreme value theory … for Expected Shortfall, we propose a novel Expected Shortfall (and Value-at-Risk) forecast combination approach, which … the portfolio return distribution. While the associated dynamic risk targeting or portfolio insurance strategies provide …