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How accurate are the professional forecasts in Asia? : evidence from ten countries

Chen, Qiwei; Costantini, Mauro - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010527137

Asian development outlook forecast accuracy 2007-2016

Ferrarini, Benno - 2019

This is done in relation to the benchmark of World Economic Outlook (WEO) projections by the International Monetary Fund. Amid much heterogeneity across countries and years, it has been found that ADO and WEO projections overlap quite closely. Both are inaccurate, especially during crisis years,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011955528

Forecasting industrial production in Germany : the predictive power of leading indicators

Schlösser, Alexander - 2020

We investigate the predictive power of several leading indicators in order to forecast industrial production in Germany … indicators. We show that the best set of predictors, within and between categories, changes over time and depends on the forecast …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149544

Short-term forecast of Ukrainian economy including shadow sector using causal simulation model

Vasylenko, Yuri V. - In: Mokslo darbai / Vilniaus Universitetas 99 (2020) 1, pp. 131-145

various types of legal and shadow economic activities and their interrelations. The model is used to forecast the whole (legal … Ukrainian authorities take an active position in the implementation of the developed forecast for the economic development of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264616

A first look on the new halle economic projection model

Giesen, Sebastian; Holtemöller, Oliver; Scharff, Juliane; … - 2010

Zeitpunkten werden präsentiert und diskutiert. -- Mehrländermodell ; Prognose ; Bayesianische Ökonometrie …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950731

Using the Yield Curve in forecasting output growth and inflation

Hillebrand, Eric; Huiyu Hang; Lee, Tae-hwy; Li, Canlin - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009531583

The usefulness of the median CPI in Bayesian VARs used for macroeconomic forecasting and policy

Meyer, Brent; Zaman, Saeed - 2016

In this paper we investigate the forecasting performance of the median Consumer Price Index (CPI) in a variety of Bayesian vector autoregressions (BVARs) that are often used for monetary policy. Until now, the use of trimmed-mean price statistics in forecasting inflation has often been relegated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011561107

An overview of forecasting facing breaks

Castle, Jennifer; Clements, Michael P.; Hendry, David F. - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451503

Forecasting the Macroeconomy : Analysts versus Economists

Hann, Rebecca N. - 2012

implications for forecast efficiency and the stock market. We find that the two sets of forecasts strongly covary over the 1984 to … aggregate earnings, the converse is not true. Additional tests suggest that analysts underreact to economists' negative forecast … revisions (i.e., aggregate earnings forecast errors are predictably more negative following economists' downward forecast …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096055

Forecasts 1982

Webb, Roy H. - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102966

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