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be derived by quadratic approximation. This leaves uncertainty in the basic three-equation model. After adding exogenous … AR(1) processes, I examine the results by numerical simulation. First, I derive a reduced-form solution for the nominal …, impulse response functions show the adjustments over time after a cost shock. As a result, accounting for uncertainty can lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479496
In this study, I modify the uncovered interest parity condition to account for foreign exchange interventions in the context of a small open economy. This is done in a framework of a semistructural New Keynesian model. I examine the case of Ukraine, which de facto transitioned to inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429367
Keynesian model ; the "target rule" ; Taylor-type rules ; Bootstrap simulation ; VAR ; Indirect inference ; Wald statistic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003882196
whether particular policy recommendations are robust to model uncertainty. Such robustness analysis is illustrated by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391304
This paper analyses the theoretical and policy implications of assuming firm-specific lumpy investment behaviour by firms and compares such implications to those occurring when adopting different investment specifications in a new-Keynesian framework. We develop numerical simulations of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059715
In this study, I modify the uncovered interest parity condition to account for foreign exchange interventions in the context of a small open economy. This is done in a framework of a semistructural New Keynesian model. I examine the case of Ukraine, which de facto transitioned to inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262254
In this paper we show that the macroeconomic effects of a transient interestrate peg can be significantly dampened when the peg is perceived to be imperfectly credible by the private sector. By doing so, we provide a solution to what has become known as the "forward guidance puzzle". This is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185833
We explore the effects of forward guidance at the zero lower bound when there is uncertainty over the lift-off date …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959532
This paper investigates the identification, the determinacy and the stability of ad hoc, "quasi-optimal" and optimal policy rules augmented with financial stability indicators (such as asset prices deviations from their fundamental values) and minimizing the volatility of the policy interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055547
This paper shows that a shift from Ramsey optimal policy under short term commitment (based on a negative-feedback mechanism) to a Taylor rule (based on positive-feedback mechanism) in the new-Keynesian model is in fact a Hopf bifurcation, with opposite policy advice. The number of stable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011660032