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of financial covenants. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403671
Using different econometric models, Diebold and Li (J Econom 130:337-364, 2006) addressed the practical problem of forecasting the yield curve by predicting the factors level, slope and curvature in the Nelson-Siegel framework. This paper has two main aims: on the one hand, to investigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011311742
A large body of literature has concluded that bond finance of the deficit is unstable because of rising interest payments on the debt. This paper criticizes this literature in detail, focusing on the Blinder-Solow and Sargent-Wallace papers. It argues that conclusions regarding a debt trap under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098750
, (ii) for a fixed budget surplus, issuing GDP-linked bonds does not necessarily imply more beneficial debt-to-GDP ratios in … expense of being higher on average. Our findings call into question the view that GDP-linked bonds tame debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835206
The price of a safe asset reflects not only the expected discounted future cash flows but also future service flows, since retrading allows partial insurance of idiosyncratic risk in an incomplete markets setting. This lowers the issuers’ interest burden and allows the government to run a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797027
stance of monetary/fiscal policy. Accounting for risk premia in the fiscal theory allows the government portfolio to affect … fiscal theory directly depend on the conditional nominal term premium, giving rise to an optimal debt maturity policy that is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643869
(TIPS) bonds as part of the government debt portfolio to commit not to create elevated inflation? We thus examine optimal … debt management in a setting where (i) the government can issue long-term nominal and real bonds, (ii) the monetary …. Nominal debt can be inflated away giving ex-ante flexibility, but real bonds constitute a real commitment ex-post. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321924
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012242244
Expectations of risky bond payments are unobservable and recovery rates for sovereigns are hard to estimate because they have no contractual claims to defined assets and samples of defaults are limited. A geometric version of credit spread is used to derive expected payments, dependent on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307696
liabilities differ, rebalancing the maturity structure changes the government cost of capital. In the fiscal theory, changes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721588