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Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil
Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2021
, estimation of time-varying forecast biases and facets of miscalibration of individual forecast densities and time-varying inter …-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil over the period 1974-2018. We show that the combination approach … analysis of profit-loss and hedging against price risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012544443
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Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil
Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2021
, estimation of time-varying forecast biases and facets of miscalibration of individual forecast densities and time-varying inter …-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil over the period 1974-2018. We show that the combination approach … analysis of profit-loss and hedging against price risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012545165
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Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil
Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628398
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Quantifying Time-Varying Forecast Uncertainty and Risk for the Real Price of Oil
Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2021
, estimation of time-varying forecast biases and facets of miscalibration of individual forecast densities and time-varying inter …-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil over the period 1974-2018. We show that the combination approach … analysis of profit-loss and hedging against price risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795319
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Quantifying time-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil
Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie; Dijk, Herman K. van - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 41 (2023) 2, pp. 523-537
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448307
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Forecasting national recessions of the United States with state-level climate risks : evidence from model averaging in Markov-switching models
Ҫepni, Oğuzhan; Christou, Christina; Gupta, Rangan - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435218
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Realized volatility forecasting based on dynamic quantile model averaging
Cai, Zongwu; Ma, Chaoqun; Mi, Xianhua - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012312856
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Fluctuations in global macro volatility
Leiva-Leon, Danilo; Ductor, Lorenzo - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012116822
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Smooth regimes, macroeconomic variables, and bagging for the short-term interest rate process
Audrino, Francesco; Medeiros, Marcelo C. - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003773443
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Combination of forecast methods using encompassing tests : an algorithm-based procedure
Costantini, Mauro; Pappalardo, Carmine - 2008
This paper proposes a strategy to increase the efficiency of forecast combining methods. Given the availability of a wide range of forecasting models for the same variable of interest, our goal is to apply combining methods to a restricted set of models. To this aim, an algorithm procedure based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009735352