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Crude oil price volatility has been analyzed extensively for organized spot, forward and futures markets for well over … a decade, and is crucial for forecasting volatility and Value-at-Risk (VaR). There are four major benchmarks in the …-Pacific), which are likely to be highly correlated. This paper analyses the volatility spillover effects across and within the four …
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markets, very little is known about the volatility transmission between these two markets. The present study aims to conceal … this gap by investigating the volatility cross effects between oil and three different non-energy commodity markets. Using … the bivariate VAR-GARCH models, we do not find any evidence of volatility linkage between oil and agricultural product …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011881040
price volatility. To address this issue, we find a phenomenon, "momentum of jumps" (MoJ), that the predictive ability of the … jump component is persistent when forecasting the oil futures market volatility. Specifically, we propose a strategy that … according to their recent past forecasting performance. The volatility data are based on the intraday prices of West Texas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272635
We analyze time-varying exchange rate co-movements and volatility spillovers between the Czech koruna, the Polish zloty … increase but hedging costs rise as well. Based on the spillover index we document that during calm periods most of the … volatilities are due to each currency's own history. However, during the distress periods volatility spillovers among currencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011763803
regarding the one sixvariate model, showing potential volatility transmission channels among the future markets. Findings have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228878
This paper investigates the conditional correlations and volatility spillovers between crude oil returns and stock … empirical results from the VARMA-GARCH and VARMA-AGARCH models provide little evidence of volatility spillovers between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149274