Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2021
near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR …) model. We report three main results. First, the decline in global inflation during the 2020 global recession was the most … muted and shortest-lived of any of the five global recessions over the past 50 years and the increase in inflation since May …