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moderation of output volatility compared to the well-known break during the mid-1980s. The period of analysis runs from 1962Q2 to … unconditional volatility and procedures of structural break detection (Inclan–Tiao test and autoregressive conditional …
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estimation of static factor models and factor augmented autoregressions using a set of 190 quarterly observations of 144 US …
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estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or …This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714199
estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or …This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756639
volatility periods in both of them, separately. From a multivariate perspective, we do not observe a significant effect between …
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breaks) in the volatility of financial time series. Comparative study of three techniques: ICSS, NPCPM and Cheng's algorithm … breaks in volatility, while Cheng's technique works well only when a single break occurs. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011393264