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Predictive AI is increasingly used to guide decisions on agents. I show that even a bias-neutral predictive AI can potentially amplify exogenous (human) bias in settings where the predictive AI represents a cost-adjusted precision gain to unbiased predictions, and the final judgments are made by...
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Forecasting macroeconomic variables is key to developing a view on a country's economic outlook.Most traditional forecasting models rely on fitting data to a pre-specified relationship between inputand output variables, thereby assuming a specific functional and stochastic process underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906888
The Prediction of a dynamic, volatile and unpredictable stock market has been a challenging issue for the researchers over the past few years. This paper discusses stock market related technical indicators, computing mathematical models , most preferred algorithms used in data science industries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825411
Background: Statutory health insurers in Germany offer a variety of disease management, prevention and health promotion programs to their insurees. Identifying patients with a high probability of leaving these programs prematurely helps insurers to offer better support to those at the highest...
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This paper evaluates multiple machine learning algorithms for forecasting the 30 second forward spread of ETH/USD. The experiments include using boosted decision trees (LightGBM, XGBoost), higher forms of linear regression and Ensembling. The Ethereum orderbook was constructed through the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215845
vector machine, and genetic algorithm and decision trees are sometimes used in several related studies. Furthermore, most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231395
algorithmic decision-making is a crucial policy issue. Current legislation ensures fairness by barring algorithm designers from …, limit the benefits of a more accurate algorithm for a firm. As a result, profit maximizing firms could under-invest in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233306
We propose an automatic machine-learning system to forecast realized volatility for S&P 100 stocks using 118 features and five machine learning algorithms. A simple average ensemble model combining all learning algorithms delivers extraordinary performance across forecast horizons, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234262