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We discuss properties of alternatives or complements to GDP as a measure of welfare at business cycle frequencies. We argue that these figures are not useful to measure the welfare costs of business cycles. First, data is not available at an appropriate quality and frequency. Second, since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010480242
We study the synchronization of credit booms and busts among 12 major European economies and the United States between … 1972-2011. We propose a regression-based procedure to test whether boom-bust phases of credit cycles coincide across … countries and to cluster countries with positively synchronized credit cycles. We find strong evidence against the existence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299045
The literature on business cycle synchronization in Europe frequently presumes an alleged ‘core‒periphery’ pattern without providing empirical verification of the underlying cyclical (dis)similarities or the supposed but unobservable ‘European business cycle(s)’. To provide a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011600272
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This study explores economic interdependence in Mercosur by examining common trends and common cycles among key macro-variables representing both the real and financial sectors of the economy. The serial correlation common features test reveals that the key macroeconomic variables (real output,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779561
The seven largest emerging market economies -China, India, Brazil, Russia, Mexico, Indonesia, and Turkey- constituted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011696360
We study the relation between the credit cycle and macro-economic fundamentals in an intensity-based framework. Using … the credit cycle from the micro rating data. We relate this cycle to the business cycle, bank lending conditions, and … financial market variables. In line with earlier studies, these variables appear to explain part of the credit cycle. As our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348707
, we offer new empirical evidence that credit declines during a recession primarily because of the reduction in the net … the bank credit market). Along the macroeconomic dimension of these gross flows, we document four cyclical facts. First …, the volatility of borrower inflows is two times as large as the volatility of obligors exiting from the credit market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622824
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