.e. whose price changes rarely) contain more information about medium term inflation developments than those of flexible price … inflation index indeed has a forward-looking component, as it has favorable inflation forecasting properties on the policy … horizon of 1-2 years to alternative inflation indicators (including core inflation). Both theoretical and empirical results …

We propose a framework for consistently evaluating core inflation measures via a straightforward application of sound … statistical inference principles. Under this framework, inflation measures (both headline and core) are regarded as estimators … tracking the economy's true, unobserved inflation rate. We depart from the arbitrary convention in the literature of …

In closed or open economy models with complete markets, targeting core inflation enables monetary policy to maximize … is high. We develop an open economy model with incomplete financial markets to show that headline inflation targeting … headline inflation, assigns zero weight to import prices. …

There is no unifying framework for evaluating core inflation measures, so we propose a methodological framework to … close this gap. It allows us to construct, evaluate, and rank core inflation measures by applying it to countries and … the usual indicator that excludes food and energy, which is the most widespread measure of core inflation among central …

development of measures of underlying, or core, inflation that are designed to remove transitory price changes from aggregate … inflation data. Given the usefulness of this information to policymakers, there is a surprising lack of consensus on a preferred … measure of U.S. core inflation. This article examines several proposed measures of core inflation - the popular ex food and …

The paper seeks to obtain an optimal asymmetric trimmed mean-based core inflation measure in the class of trimmed mean …

Using state-space modeling, we extract information from surveys of long-term inflation expectations and multiple … quarterly inflation series to undertake a real-time decomposition of quarterly headline PCE and GDP-deflator inflation rates … approaches to real-time forecasting of headline PCE inflation. We find that performance is enhanced if forecasting equations are …

Monetary policymakers and long-term investors would benefit greatly from a measure of underlying inflation that uses … all relevant information, is available in real-time, and forecasts inflation better than traditional underlying inflation … measures such as core inflation measures. This paper presents the "Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) Staff Underlying …

of total inflation to price nominal Treasuries. This approach captures different frequencies in inflation fluctuations … a common structure of latent factors determines and predicts the term structure of yields and inflation. The model … outperforms popular benchmarks and is at par with the Survey of Professional Forecasters in forecasting inflation. Real rates …