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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011784413
Cloyne (2013) constructs a novel dataset documenting fiscal tax shocks in the United Kingdom using the narrative approach developed by Romer and Romer (2010), and estimates the impact of tax changes on GDP. He finds that a tax cut of one percent of GDP causes a 0.6 percent increase in output in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014556602
What do we know about the output effects of fiscal policy in low income countries (LICs)? There are very few empirical studies on the subject. This paper fills this gap by estimating the output effects of government spending shocks in LICs. Our analysis-based on the local projection method-finds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831612
Recent analyses relate increases in the growth rate of countries to anticipation effects caused by bidding for the Olympic Games, so called news shocks. We argue that these findings should be interpreted cautiously. First, these analyses may suffer from an omitted variable bias because they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373571
autoregression (VAR) approach. Identification of the tax shock follows the narrative approach recently proposed by Romer and Romer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009313156
This paper estimates the GDP impact of legislated tax changes in Spain using a newly constructed narrative record for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955551
This paper studies the real effects of an exogenous UK tax change in recessions and expansions. The tax shock is … regressions (Granger and Teräsvirta, 1994), tax policy shock is found to affect UK macroeconomic variables depending on the phase … of the business cycle the economy is when tax shock occurs. An exogenous tax cut in recessions triggers a large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012164687
This paper estimates the effects of tax changes on the U.K. economy. Identification is achieved by isolating the "exogenous" tax policy shocks in the post-war U.K. economy using a narrative strategy as in Romer and Romer (2010). The resulting tax changes are shown to be unforecastable on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124174
This paper explores the international transmission of U.S. tax shocks and provides evidence for the German economy. Using structural vector autoregressions, we find that after a U.S. tax cut, German GDP increases moderately. While higher U.S. demand stimulates German exports, a deterioration of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928267
This paper estimates the effects of tax changes on the U.K. economy. Identification is achieved by isolating the 'exogenous' tax policy shocks in the post-war U.K. economy using a narrative strategy as in Romer and Romer (2010). The resulting tax changes are shown to be unforecastable on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274733