We consider terrorism acts in G7 countries over the period 1998-2017 and examine their impact on a sample of stock market indices from 66 countries. Using an event-study methodology we find that stock markets decline significantly on the event day and on the following trading day. We further...

We consider bankruptcy announcements of large financial institutions in the US and examine their impact on an international sample of 66 stock market indices. Employing an event-study methodology, we find that stock markets exhibit strong adverse reaction in the aftermath of such announcements....

We examine the association of the Bitcoin price crash risk with economic uncertainty and behavioral factors. We show that economic uncertainty displays a negative and significant association with Bitcoin price crash risk, indicating that when economic uncertainty is high, the crash risk of...

We develop a framework to simultaneously compute the unobservable parameters underlying the structural-parametric models for bankruptcy prediction. More specifically, we compute the unobservable parameters such as, asset value and asset volatility, through learning by embedding in the structural...

In this paper, we evaluate an alternative approach for bankruptcy prediction that measures the financial healthiness of firms that have coupon-paying debts. The approach is based on the framework of Leland and Toft (1996), which is an extension of a widely-used model; the Black-Scholes-Merton...

In this paper, we estimate coefficients of bankruptcy forecasting models, such as logistic and neural network models, by maximizing their discriminatory power as measured by the Area Under Receiver Operating Characteristics (AUROC) curve. A method is introduced and compared with traditional...

We use the 2008 crisis as an exogenous shock to the annual pension funding ratios of U.S. corporate defined benefit (DB) pension plans to examine the causal impact on the assumption of expected return on pension assets (EROA). Contrary to prior literature, we find that DB pension plans...

Rating agencies consult with local government officials several days prior to official announcements of sovereign debt rating changes, making information leakage likely. Using cross-country data from 1988 to 2012, we find evidence of information leakage. In particular, we find statistically and...