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Using novel data on individual euro area banks' balance sheets this paper shows that exposure to stressed European sovereigns manifested in a liquidity shock to their international funding through two channels: (i) a contraction in cross-border funding, and (ii) a contraction in US wholesale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374059
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We analyse the poisonous interaction between bank rescues, financial fragility and sovereign debt discounts. In our … sovereign debt discount. We introduce long term government debt, which gives rise to the possibility of capital losses on bank … intermediaries causes bond prices to drop triggering capital losses at the bank under intervention. This mechanism shows the limits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010224776
I analyze the impact of austerity on sovereign spreads. To do so I propose a model with strategic sovereign default and nominal rigidities where the government follows fiscal rules, which are estimated from data. I first analyze the theoretical implications of the model and find that austerity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663666
This paper proposes a quantitative theory of the interaction between private and public debt in an open economy. Excessive private debt increases the frequency of financial crises. During such crises the government provides fiscal bailouts financed with risky public debt. This response may cause...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013194400
We study sovereign external debt crises over the past 200 years, with a focus on creditor losses, or "haircuts". Our sample covers 327 sovereign debt restructurings with external private creditors over 205 default spells since 1815. Creditor losses vary widely (from none to 100%), but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014557831
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191409
The theoretical literature remains inconclusive on whether changes in bank exposure towards the domestic sovereign have … an adverse effect on the sovereign risk position via a diabolic loop in the sovereign-bank nexus or reduce perceived … exogenous changes in bank exposure on the risk position of the sovereign within a Markov switching structural vector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436025
This paper studies the impact of the state-dependent risk of a government default on the correlation of the scal balance and current account. We use a small open economy model where nonlinear risk premia arise endogenously when the government operates close to its scal limit, i.e. the maximum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341080