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, i.e. exhibits seasonality. We propose a stochastic volatility jump-diffusion model to capture this seasonal variation …
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In this study, we comprehensively examine the volatility term structures in commodity markets. We model state …-dependent spillovers in principal components (PCs) of the volatility term structures of different commodities, as well as that of the … equity market. We detect strong economic links and a substantial interconnectedness of the volatility term structures of …
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This paper investigates price jumps in commodity markets. We find that jumps are rare and extreme events but occur less frequently than in stock markets. Nonetheless, jump correlations across commodities can be high depending on the commodity sectors. Energy, metal and grains commodities show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900597
commodity price uncertainties are proven to be leading indicators of uncertainty rather than volatility in commodity markets. In …
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calm economic environment, the estimation accuracy is higher (1.5% vs. 4%), and that the AI-based estimation methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233184
Fat-tailed commodity price innovations are well-documented in the literature and long recognized as disruptive for consumers and producers, yet little is known about what factors drive such extreme events. Utilizing a wide range of factors from the economics and finance literature and quantile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114046