Showing 1 - 9 of 9
In this paper, we discuss a generalization of the collective risk model and of Panjer's recursion. The model we consider consists of several business lines with dependent claim numbers. The distributions of the claim numbers are assumed to be Poisson mixture distributions. We let the claim...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200577
We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for parameter estimation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709589
The three annual 2¼% interest coupons of the Winterthur Insuranceconvertible bond (face value CHF 4 700) will only be paid out if during their corresponding observation periods no major storm or had storm on one single day damages at least 6000 motor vehicles insured with Wmterthur Insurance....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005847173
Using an extended version of the credit risk model CreditRisk, we develop a flexible framework with numerous applications amongst which we find stochastic mortality modelling, forecasting of death causes as well as profit and loss modelling of life insurance and annuity portfolios which can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001147
We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for parameter estimation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957411
We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for parameter estimation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971764
Recently we developed a new framework in Hirz et al. (2015) to model stochastic mortality using extended CreditRisk methodology which is very different from traditional time series methods used for mortality modelling previously. In this framework, deaths are driven by common latent stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018758
We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for parameter estimation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011643397
In this contribution we analyze two models for the joint probability of defaults of dependent credit risks that are based on a generalisation of Polya urn scheme. In particular we focus our attention on the problems related to the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters involved, and to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700800