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us to prefer an indirect estimation based on the error-correction model. This approach is applied to euro-rates over the … period 1975-96. The main results are the following: the expectations theory is well accepted for French and UK rates but …
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for macroeconomic outcomes? Using an affine term structure model, we shed new light on these questions. Estimation is … subject to restrictions addressing an estimation bias in expected interest rates obtained by previous studies. Highfrequency … the transmission mechanism and broadly consistent with macroeconomic theory. …
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The term structure of interest rates is crucial for the transmission of monetary policy to financial markets and the macroeconomy. Disentangling the impact of monetary policy on the components of interest rates, expected short rates and term premia, is essential to under- standing this channel....
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-correction specifications. These tests are shown to be much more favorable for the theory and the initial puzzle disappears …
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Most macroeconomic models impose a tight link between expected future short rates and the term structure of interest rates via the expectations hypothesis (EH). While the EH has been systematically rejected in the data, existing work evaluating the EH generally assumes either full-information...
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