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over weaker-economic times since at least 1990. We document this economic-state variation in uncertainty-yield dynamics for … weekly and monthly change horizons, for nominal yields and real-yield proxies, for multiple economic-state identification …
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A popular proposal for reforming social security is to supplement or replace traditional publicly financed benefits with a new system of mandatory defined-contribution private pensions. Proponents claim that private plans offer better returns than traditional social security. To achieve higher...
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This paper employs the unrestricted extended constant conditional correlation GARCH specification proposed in Conrad and Karanasos (2008) to examine the intertemporal relationship between the uncertainties of inflation and output growth in the US. We find that inflation uncertainty effects...
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This paper examines the effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on stock-bond correlations for the US market. We devise a general framework which distinguishes a positive shock from a negative one and nests either as its special case. The results show that innovations in the policy...
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