We discuss the foreign currency forward premium puzzle in the context of 20 internationally tradable emerging market currencies. We find that since the late 1990s the broad basket of emerging market currencies has provided significant equity-like excess returns against a number of major market...

This is a descriptive paper on the excess return from 20 internationally tradable emerging market (EM) currencies. It has two contributions. First, we document stylized facts about EM currencies. For the period starting in the second half of the 1990s and including the two major crises (the 1997...

We investigate the relation between foreign exchange (FX) order flow and the forward bias. We outline a decomposition of the forward bias according to which a negative correlation between interest rate differentials and order flow creates a time-varying risk premium consistent with that bias....

This paper finds that currency carry trade, which is borrowing money from a low interest rate country and lending it into a high interest rate country, can generate high excess profits and high alpha in both developed and emerging markets. The profit from G-10 country carry trade is mainly...

The use of futures exchange contracts instead of forwards completes the maturity spectrum of the correlation between the spot yield and the premium. We find that the forward premium puzzle (FFP) depends significantly on the maturity horizon of the futures contract and the choice of sampling...

Derivatives markets in emerging economies have continued to grow since 2010, driven mostly by very strong growth in the OTC market. Emerging market currencies have become more international as offshore markets are a major contributor to FX turnover. The Chinese renminbi is actively traded within...