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Most affine models of the term structure with stochastic volatility (SV) predict that the variance of the short rate is …;unspanned stochastic volatility (USV).quot; Of the models tested, only the A1(4) USV model is found to generate both realistic volatility … estimates and a good cross-sectional fit. Our findings suggests that interest rate volatility cannot be extracted from the cross …
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innovations in the level factor to explain the volatility of long-term bond returns. The model also implies that excess bond … predictability of excess returns on long-term bonds. Modeling this requires sufficient volatility and persistence in the price of … stylized facts. In a decomposition of long-term bond returns we find that the expectations component from the level factor is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938568
innovations in the level factor to explain the volatility of long-term bond returns. The model also implies that excess bond … predictability of excess returns on long-term bonds. Modeling this requires sufficient volatility and persistence in the price of … stylized facts. In a decomposition of long-term bond returns we find that the expectations component from the level factor is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940149
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. The model allows for asymmetric risk premia, causality and co-volatility spillovers jointly in the global bond markets …. Empirical results show significant asymmetric partial co-volatility spillovers and risk premium exist in the bond markets. The … changing behavior of time varying risk premium for holding 10 year maturity bond using a bivariate VARMA-DBEKK-AGARCH-M model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422545
dynamics and measures the persistence of shocks to the sovereign bond yield volatility in India from 1 January 2016, to 18 May …Does Indian sovereign yield volatility reflect economic fundamentals, or whether it is a self-generated force flowing … through markets with little connection to such fundamentals? To answer the question, this research explores the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500716
Gaussian affine term structure models attribute time‐varying bond risk premia to changing risk prices driven by the … conditional means of the risk factors, while structural models with recursive preferences credit it to stochastic volatility. We … model with recursive preferences. Our model is affine and has analytical bond prices making it empirically tractable. We use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316725
Recent findings on the term structure of equity and bond yields pose serious challenges to existing models of … dynamics of equity and bond yields (and their yield spreads). The movements of equity and bond yields are driven mainly by … returns/yields and nominal bond returns/yields switched from positive to negative after the late 1990s, owing mainly to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013193433