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Introduction: Nowadays, the most significant challenges in the stock market is to predict the stock prices. The stock price data represents a financial time series data which becomes more difficult to predict due to its characteristics and dynamic nature. Case description: Support Vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012266638
It is often argued that intraday returns can be used to construct covariance estimates that are more accurate than those based on daily returns. However, it is still unclear whether high frequency data provide more precise covariance estimates in markets more contaminated from microstructure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011858494
It is often argued that intraday returns can be used to construct covariance estimates that are more accurate than those based on daily returns. However, it is still unclear whether high frequency data provide more precise covariance estimates in markets more contaminated from microstructure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866468
The Black-Scholes pricing errors are larger in the deeper out-of-the-money options relative to the near out-of-the-money options, and mispricing worsens with increased volatility. Our results indicate that the Black-Scholes model is not the proper pricing tool in high volatility situations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009144549
This paper aims to introduce a nonlinear model to forecast macroeconomic time series using a large number of predictors. The technique used to summarize the predictors in a small number of variables is Principal Component Analysis (PC), while the method used to capture nonlinearity is artificial...
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We use machine learning methods to predict stock return volatility. Our out-of-sample prediction of realised volatility for a large cross-section of US stocks over the sample period from 1992 to 2016 is on average 44.1% against the actual realised volatility of 43.8% with an R2 being as high as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800743