This study examines whether financial markets, especially excess stock returns, contain information about changes in future values of certain macroeconomic variables. Earlier literature documents that term spreads of interest rates can predict both nominal activity, i.e. inflation, and real...

We identify the most significant factors that have influenced the profitability of European banking sector during the negative interest rate period (NIRP), with a particular focus on the bank size, loan portfolio quality, ownership structure, and location. Based on a panel dataset from 560 banks...

This study uses a sample of Western European banks to examine the development in bank asset liquidity during the era of low interest rates. The results suggest that asset liquidity has converged during this period; the least liquid banks have improved their liquidity whereas the most liquid banks...

In the new Benchmark Determination Methodology (BDM), the calculation of Euro Interbank Offered Rates (EURIBOR) should be based on fully comprehensive euro unsecured money market transactions. As this set of eligible transactions contains a number of different instruments, it cannot be...

This is the first paper that explores lottery-like demand in cryptocurrency markets. Since recent research provides evidence that cryptocurrency returns are rather short-memory processes in their nature, we modify Bali et al.'s (2011, 2017) MAX measure and employ a weekly forecast horizon and...

Contrary to expectations, the continuous decline in money market interest rates between 2009 and 2014, and the following negative era for European interbank markets, has positively affected profitability of Finnish cooperative banks. We obtain these results that contrast sharply with previous...

Using recently developed modelling methodology of Economic Tracking Portfolios (ETP), we find that it is possible to forecast future values of inflation and changes in industrial production in the United States and at least three core euro countries - Italy, France and Germany - utilising only...

The paper re-examines the role of the collapse of Soviet/Russian trade in the Finnish depression of the 1990's, using time series analysis based on a theoretical open macro model. It is shown that empirically, the strong credit expansion resulting from the simultaneous liberalization of the...

Recently introduced measure for Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) seems to have a role to play in forecasting out-of-sample values for the future real economic activity both for the euro area and the UK economies in the monthly data from 1997-2016. Inclusion of EPU measures either for the US, UK...