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We use factor analysis to summarize information from various macroeconomic indicators, effectively producing coincident indicators for the Chinese economy. We compare the dynamics of the estimated factors with GDP, and compare our factors with other published indicators for the Chinese economy....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129258
In the last few decades, real GDP growth and investment in advanced countries have declined in tandem. This slowdown was not the result of weak demand (there has been no shift along the Okun curve), but of a decline in potential output growth (which has shifted the Okun curve to the left). We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859859
This study analyses the role and impact of education on economic growth in the two largest economies of the former Soviet Bloc, namely, the Russian Federation and Ukraine. It attempts to estimate the significance of different educational levels, including secondary and tertiary education, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012725545
This article uses extreme-bound-type analysis to revisit the determinants behind widely differing economic growth in Russian regions. Using data of 77 regions for 1993-2004, it separately examines the growth drivers for the phase of economic decline up to 1998, and for the period of strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014212870
China's official real GDP growth has held surprisingly stable in recent years. As national GDP figures influence both policy analysis and political decisions, the GDP growth rate of the massive Chinese economy has also great international implications. Taking the nominal GDP growth and price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895518
It is important to understand the growth process under way in China. However, analyses of Chinese growth became increasingly more difficult after the real GDP doubling target was announced in 2012 and the official real GDP statistics lost their fluctuations. With a dataset covering 31 Chinese...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424978
Okun's law is one of the most widely-known stylized facts in the macroeconomic literature and policy. In this paper, we study several aspects of Okun's law in Macedonia between 2004 and 2014. Aggregate indicators show a link between output and unemployment that is in line with this empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011981843
This paper constructs annual GDP estimates for Ireland (1924-47) to join the first complete official aggregates. The new series is deployed to revisit Ireland's economic performance in the post-independence decades. Ireland's economy grew at 1.5 per cent per annum and average living standards...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014532422
An increase in the household debt to GDP ratio predicts lower GDP growth and higher unemployment in the medium run for an unbalanced panel of 30 countries from 1960 to 2012. Low mortgage spreads are associated with an increase in the household debt to GDP ratio and a decline in subsequent GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971099
This paper investigated the effect of capital market on Omani economic growth using real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as representative for economic growth. The main objective of the paper is to scan the impact of Muscat Security Market (MSM) on economic g rowth in Oman. The data were collected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037395