domestic product. We introduce the first leading indicator constructed to forecast import growth, the Import Climate. It builds …Globalization has led to huge increases in import volumes, increasing the importance of imports for total output. Since … imports are a volatile component, they are difficult to forecast and strongly influence the forecast accuracy of gross …

Globalization has led to huge increases in import volumes, but the literature on import forecasting is still in its … infancy. We introduce the first leading indicator especially constructed for total import growth, the so-called Import Climate …. It builds on the idea that the import demand of the domestic country should be reflected in the expected export …

domestic product. We introduce the first leading indicator constructed to forecast import growth, the Import Climate. It builds …Globalization has led to huge increases in import volumes, increasing the importance of imports for total output. Since … imports are a volatile component, they are difficult to forecast and strongly influence the forecast accuracy of gross …

Globalization has led to huge increases in import volumes, but the literature on import forecasting is still in its … infancy. We introduce the first leading indicator especially constructed for total import growth, the so-called Import Climate …. It builds on the idea that the import demand of the domestic country should be reflected in the expected export …

lagged consensus forecast about the period being forecast. We find that all three biases are present in the Survey of … forecast to form expectations is a rather smart thing to do if cognitive limitations and biases cause any attempt to build an … own rational forecast to fail. …