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This study investigates how prices respond to unanticipated crude oil inventory shocks and how quickly the markets incorporate news in crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil futures markets by using structured vector autoregression (SVAR) models based on EIA inventory report announcement and news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307507
This study investigates how prices respond to unanticipated crude oil inventory shocks and how quickly the markets incorporate news in crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil futures markets by using structured vector autoregression (SVAR) models based on EIA inventory report announcement and news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311571
We study the jump behaviour in the sovereign risks of major oil-exporting countries and examine whether it is affected by jumps in the price and volatility of crude oil. Data used are daily from 14 February 2011, to 31 July 2019. We detect the presence of jumps in many oil exporters and find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127756
This paper addresses the question of whether the oil price spike of 2003-2008 was a bubble. We document and discuss what is known about the level of speculation in the paper oil market. We then analyze the dynamics of the term structure of futures prices, both during the earlier period of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156297
100 US dollars again. This study explains the volatility of petroleum futures contracts as low and high volatility in two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914438
The pricing dynamics of oil-based commodities are frequently influenced by reported events. Our analysis spans almost 900 oil-related events from 1978 to 2022, categorizing them based on recurring characteristics. Employing a novel bootstrap-after-bootstrap testing econometric framework, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444768
The paper examines the impact of Russia-Ukraine war news on Indian crude oil spot and futures markets. The event study Methodology is employed to examine the abnormal returns in crude oil spot and futures markets on the Russia-Ukraine War announcement date. For robustness of results, traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014439462
This paper seeks to investigate the time-varying conditional correlations to the crude oil futures contract returns and the private Credit Default Swap market returns of Germany and France. We employ a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228882
WTI and Brent futures are tested for the presence of psychological barriers around $10 price levels applying a multiple hypothesis testing approach for robustness. Psychological barriers are present in Brent pricing but not in WTI pricing, which is argued, based on recent behavioural finance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064960
WTI and Brent futures are tested for the presence of psychological barriers around $10 price levels applying a multiple hypothesis testing approach for robustness. Psychological barriers are present in Brent pricing but not in WTI pricing, which is argued, based on recent behavioural finance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065581