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This paper examines whether the proliferation of new index products, such as commodity-tracking exchange-traded funds (ETFs), amplified the volatility transmission channel introduced by financialization. This paper focuses on the volatility spillover effects among crude oil, metals, agriculture,...
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This study shows how the investor sentiment in the stock market affects prices of commodity exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The study provides quantitative evidence that the tracking errors of commodity ETFs differ in the bullish versus the bearish stock market, and the aggregate tracking error of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015719
Supposed portfolio benefits of commodities and the increased availability of commodity linked investment products such as index funds contribute to a financialization of agricultural commodity markets. The parallel increase in price levels and short-term volatility for almost all major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011429338
On the 30th anniversary of the seminal article by Pindyck (1993), we re-evaluate the evidence for the classical rational model of commodity prices, extending it to admit time- varying discount rates, investors’ heterogeneity or both. Discount factors specifications are flexible enough to allow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351164
Money manager capitalism - characterized by highly leveraged funds seeking maximum returns in an environment that systematically underprices risk - has resulted in a series of boom-and-bust cycles in equities, real estate, and commodities. Because subsequent cycles have been increasingly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003811613
This paper evaluates how different types of speculation affect the volatility of commodities' futures prices. We adopt … four indexes of speculation: Working's T, the market share of non-commercial traders, the percentage of net long … speculators over total open interest in future markets, which proxy for long term speculation, and scalping, which proxies for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756298
This paper evaluates how different types of speculation affect the volatility of commodities' futures prices. We adopt … four indexes of speculation: Working's T, the market share of non-commercial traders, the percentage of net long … speculators over total open interest in future markets, which proxy for long term speculation, and scalping, which proxies for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081164
Motivated by repeated price spikes and crashes over the last decade, we investigate whether the rapidly growing market shares of futures speculators have destabilized commodity spot prices. We approximate conditional volatility and regress it on expected and unexpected speculative open interest....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112917