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Since most official estimates of major macroeconomic variables that market participants and policy makers keenly monitor in real time come out with significant publication lags, nowcasting literature especially targeted on key macro variables has trended over the recent years. Nowcasting refers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078745
According to the data of surveys of the Gaidar Institute, in January in industry the sharp but traditional growth in optimism of forecasts of demand, output and employment was combined with growth in excessive stocks of finished products, careful pricing policy and growing inhibitive effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084783
Analysis of July data regarding the state and expectations for businesses covered by the Gaidar Institute business surveys1 demonstrated further bogging down of the Russian economy into the slow rolling 2015 crisis. Not a single major indicator has so far demonstrated chronic crisis adjustments....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014688
According to business surveys conducted by Gaidar Institute, domestic industry in a more definite way turns into "smooth water" of Russian economic crisis, which smooth surface was not ruffled in 2016 even by declarations about its prompt termination. Ambiguous demand dynamic together with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978690
First September data obtained from the Gaidar Institute business surveys has demonstrated high adjustment of Russian industry to 2015 recession pattern. Sluggish negative demand dynamic suits the majority of enterprises and allows them to steadily control finished products' stocks. Output growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002735
As industry gets back into work mode after the January holidays this is occurring slowly and does not promise any new positive trends. A steeper decline in demand has resulted in the slowdown of output with the normal levels of excess reserves of finished products. Companies are having to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055072
The initial data of the business surveys of the Gaidar Institute on the state of things in the Russian industry showed that in January the situation did not change for the worse and modest positive signals late in 2013 might consolidate in 2014. The positive dynamics of the demand permitted to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055350
A detailed analysis of the system of indices of business surveys of the Gaidar Institute showed that in November the Russian industry made an attempt to break away from stagnation. However, higher intensity of growth in production and optimism of output plans is supported so far by the estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059894
According to the data of business surveys of the Gaidar Institute, in May industrial output demonstrated more positive dynamics than demand which situation resulted in worsening of estimates of stocks of finished products by enterprises. It is to be noted that a dramatic slowdown of growth in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018193
According to the business surveys of the Gaidar Institute, the first data of December on the Russian industry has no (pre)crisis evidence. Demand demonstrated the dynamics which is typical of the end of the year; sales volumes suit most enterprises and there is no concern about stocks of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027551