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How do markets learn about central banks? Employing narrative evidence and futures data, Cieślak, Morse and Vissing-Jørgensen (2018) argue that private, informal channels systematically carry Federal Reserve information to markets around monetary-policy meetings. I complement their work with...
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We construct a measure of abnormal relative attention (ARA), reflecting unusual changes in attention paid to a stock by local relative to non-local investors, to measure local information advantages. An increase in this measure predicts higher returns in the short term. This predictive power is...
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If information is not perfect, theories prescribe a negative relation between information availability and expected stock returns. Using two readily available variables, price and volume, I construct a new proxy for information and test its relation to returns in the 1964-2007 period on...
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There has been a long debate on the interpretation of idiosyncratic return variation. We inform this debate by examining the extent to which stock return synchronicity is associated with the post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) in China. We find that firms with higher synchronicity exhibit...
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Based on the notion that private information necessarily accompanies trade and leads to return variation, this paper explores the positive relationship between informed trade and firm-specific return variation. Using the PIN as a measure of informed trade, we find that the PIN is positively...
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other hand the decision makers rely too much on the received information. Moreover, communication as well as payoffs … communication is less biased. In all treatments, however, the messages are more precise than theoretically predicted. …
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